Will Pamela Denise Long be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Pamela Denise Long has a low chance of being the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Pamela Denise Long as the Republican nominee, with a 99.6% probability of 'NO.' The AI model also reflects this sentiment, assigning a 95.1% probability to 'NO,' suggesting that market participants do not view her candidacy as viable.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.6%.
• 2 AI model aligns closely with market sentiment, showing 95.1% for 'NO.'
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is 100 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.