Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Park Chan-dae is highly favored to win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election.

The market shows a strong probability of 93.50% for Park Chan-dae's victory, supported by an AI probability of 88%. However, the NO side appears undervalued by 5.5 points, indicating potential market skepticism about the certainty of his win.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Park Chan-dae.
• 2 The NO side's undervaluation suggests potential for price adjustment.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 2033 hours, which may affect market dynamics.
• 5 Historical trends in local elections could influence voter behavior.

The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).