Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Park Yong-jin has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Park Yong-jin winning, with a 99.85% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of victory at 3.15% for YES. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Park Yong-jin's support remains minimal in the prediction market.
• 3 The market probability aligns closely with the AI's assessment.
• 4 There is a strong consensus among participants regarding the outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential changes in dynamics.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.