Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Pete Buttigieg has a low chance of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The prediction market indicates a 1.75% probability of Pete Buttigieg winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, with a strong consensus against his candidacy. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 4.75%, but both metrics suggest minimal support for his potential victory. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 80 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Buttigieg's visibility and campaign strategy will influence future probabilities.
• 3 Historical trends show incumbents or well-known figures often dominate primaries.
• 4 Liquidity in this market is relatively stable, reflecting consistent betting behavior.
• 5 Time until the election is substantial, allowing for potential changes in dynamics.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.