Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?

Phan Văn Giang has a low probability of becoming Vietnam's next President.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Phan Văn Giang becoming the next President of Vietnam, with a 97.55% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge. Confidence in this assessment is relatively high at 85 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is notably low at 2.45%.
• 3 Market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.
• 4 Confidence level in the prediction is high at 85/100.
• 5 No specific expiry date is provided, impacting urgency.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be u