Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?

The market strongly favors that 'Polymarket' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that 'Polymarket' will not be mentioned during the Oscars. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of the term being used. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against the mention of 'Polymarket'.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slight chance of mention, but overall sentiment is low.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 4 Market appears to be efficiently priced with minimal edge.
• 5 No imminent events are likely to shift the current probabilities.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

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