Will Prawit Wongsuwan be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Prawit Wongsuwan is highly unlikely to become Thailand's next prime minister.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Prawit Wongsuwan becoming the next prime minister, with a 0% probability for 'YES'. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 3% probability for 'YES', indicating a low likelihood of a shift in this outcome.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors 'NO' at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests minimal chance for Prawit at 3%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 High confidence level of 80/100 suggests strong conviction in current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 6846 hours, allowing for potential developments.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially selected and appointed to be Prime Minister of Thailand following the 2026 general legislative election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally selected for the role of Prime Minister and appointed to the role by the king of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is selected and appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.