Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

The market strongly favors Warnock not winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Current market probabilities indicate a significant belief that Raphael Warnock will not win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with a 99.45% chance of 'NO.' The Pulse AI model, however, suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 3.55%, indicating some potential for unexpected shifts in sentiment or events.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.45%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a higher chance for 'YES' at 3.55%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 80/100, reflecting strong market sentiment.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 22845 hours, allowing for potential changes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.