Will Richard Boykin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

Richard Boykin is unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for IL-07.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Richard Boykin will not be the Democratic nominee for IL-07, with a 98.55% probability against his nomination. The Pulse AI also reflects a significant lean towards 'NO,' suggesting consensus among participants that he faces considerable challenges in securing the nomination.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 98.55%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 5.95%.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited at 119 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.