Will Rob Ruszkowski win the GA-14 special election?

Rob Ruszkowski has a very low chance of winning the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Rob Ruszkowski winning the GA-14 special election, with a 99.95% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.05% for a YES outcome, indicating that market sentiment is firmly against his candidacy.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 96.95% for NO.
• 3 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.