Low probability for Kennedy Jr. to win the 2028 Republican nomination.
The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Robert F. Kennedy Jr. winning the Republican nomination, with a market probability of only 0.85% in favor. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a 3.85% chance of victory. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 80 out of 100.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.