Will Robin Kelly be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Robin Kelly is highly unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Robin Kelly as the Democratic nominee, with a 99.95% probability of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.05% for 'YES', indicating a general lack of support for her candidacy.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 3.05%.
• 3 The edge score of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Lack of time pressure may allow for shifts in sentiment as the election approaches.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.