Will Rocio Alejandra Molina win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?

Rocio Alejandra Molina has a low chance of winning the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Rocio Alejandra Molina will not win the upcoming mayoral election, with a 99.75% probability against her victory. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a consensus on her low chances, although it assigns a slightly higher probability to her winning. With 245 hours until the election, the market appears to be fairly priced based on current confidence levels.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Molina's chances are perceived as very low by both market and AI predictions.
• 3 Market probability aligns closely with Pulse AI estimates.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 5 Time remaining until the election may allow for potential shifts in sentiment.

The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).