Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Romania has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.

The prediction market indicates a 1.20% probability for Romania to win the televote, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher 5.7%. Overall, the consensus leans heavily towards a 'NO' outcome, reflecting skepticism about Romania's prospects in the competition.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 AI probability suggests a slightly more optimistic view than the market.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 1319 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.