Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

DeSantis has a low chance of winning the 2028 election according to market data.

The prediction market indicates a 1.65% probability of Ron DeSantis winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, with a strong consensus against his candidacy. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 4.65%, but both figures suggest a significant lack of confidence in his chances. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome for DeSantis.
• 2 The low probabilities indicate limited confidence in his candidacy.
• 3 Market pricing suggests that DeSantis' chances are well understood.
• 4 The time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential changes in the political climate.
• 5 Liquidity in the market may affect the ability to adjust positions as events unfold.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.