Will Ronald Antonio Unzueta win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?

Ronald Antonio Unzueta is unlikely to win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Ronald Antonio Unzueta winning the upcoming mayoral election, with a market probability of only 0.55% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 5.05% for his victory, indicating a significant lack of confidence in his candidacy.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Unzueta.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a low likelihood of his victory.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced at this time.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 245 hours.

The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).