Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Serbia is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote according to current market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Serbia winning the televote, with a probability of only 0.45% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of 4.95% for Serbia's victory, suggesting that the market is fairly priced given the current sentiment and confidence level.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Serbia.
• 2 The probability of 0.45% indicates minimal confidence in Serbia's chances.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher, but still low, probability of 4.95%.
• 4 The market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 5 With 1329 hours until expiry, there is time for potential shifts in sentiment.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.