Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?

Shawn Harris has a low chance of winning the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a 4.55% probability for Shawn Harris to win, significantly lower than the 95.45% for a loss. The Pulse AI model estimates a slightly higher probability of 6.05%, indicating a consensus that Harris is unlikely to secure victory.

• 1 Market probability indicates strong favor for a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a marginally higher chance for YES.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 reflects a strong consensus.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.