Will Soo Hyun Chung win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?

Soo Hyun Chung has a low probability of winning the 2026 mayoral election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Soo Hyun Chung winning the upcoming mayoral election, with a 99.65% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a significant gap between market expectations and Chung's chances.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Chung.
• 2 The probability of YES is significantly lower than the AI's estimate.
• 3 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 180 hours, allowing for potential shifts in dynamics.

The Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).