Will Stanley Leavell be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Stanley Leavell is highly unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Stanley Leavell becoming the Democratic nominee, with a 99.95% probability of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of his nomination at 3.05%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market indicates a strong belief that Leavell will not be the nominee.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a slight chance but still favors 'NO'.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is likely accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in current predictions.
• 5 No clear time pressure is indicated, as expiry time is unknown.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.