Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Stephen Cloobeck is highly unlikely to win the 2026 California Governor Election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Stephen Cloobeck winning the California Governor Election, with a market probability of only 0.15% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.15% for his victory, indicating a significant lack of confidence in his candidacy.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Cloobeck's chances are viewed as minimal by both market and AI predictions.
• 3 The market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the NO prediction.
• 5 Time until election provides ample opportunity for potential shifts.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.