Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Stephen Smith has a low chance of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Stephen Smith winning the election, with a 99.35% probability of NO. The Pulse AI probability also reflects skepticism, suggesting a 96.35% chance of NO, indicating that the market is fairly priced with an edge of 3.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Market probability indicates a strong belief in Smith's unlikelihood to win.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a modestly higher chance than the market, but still low.
• 4 The edge of 3 indicates the market is likely accurately priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.