Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Bannon's nomination.

Current market probabilities show a 0.65% chance of Steve Bannon winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, indicating a strong consensus against his candidacy. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, suggesting a mere 3.65% chance of a YES outcome, reflecting low confidence in his nomination prospects.

• 1 Market probability indicates strong skepticism about Bannon's nomination.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level of 80/100 suggests reliable market assessment.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Current edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.