Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Sung Il-jong has a low chance of winning the 2026 gubernatorial election.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Sung Il-jong will not win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election, with a market probability of 99.6% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, suggesting a 95.1% chance of losing, indicating a consensus among participants regarding his prospects.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Sung Il-jong's chances are perceived as very low by participants.
• 3 The market appears to be fairly priced with a small edge.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential changes in sentiment or events.

The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).