Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

The Democratic Coalition is unlikely to win the most seats in the upcoming election.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that the Democratic Coalition will not secure the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election. With a market probability of only 0.05% for a YES outcome, sentiment heavily favors the NO side, supported by the Pulse AI's similar assessment.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly more optimistic about the Democratic Coalition's chances.
• 3 Current edge suggests market pricing is accurate.
• 4 Confidence level indicates strong consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in political dynamics.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solel