Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Market indicates a 61.4% chance the DHS shutdown will end after March 31, 2026.

The prediction market shows a majority belief that the DHS shutdown will conclude after March 31, 2026, with a probability of 61.4%. This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, suggesting a consensus on the likelihood of resolution. The market is currently viewed as fairly priced, indicating balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Current market probability stands at 61.4% for a resolution after March 31, 2026.
• 2 The confidence level is relatively high at 75 out of 100.
• 3 No significant edge indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Time to expiry is 527 hours, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Sentiment is leaning towards a positive resolution of the shutdown.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.