Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?

The market indicates a low probability of the DHS shutdown ending between April 13-16, 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards a 'NO' outcome for the DHS shutdown ending during the specified dates, with a probability of 87.45%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a 'YES' outcome. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a shutdown continuation.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests some divergence in expectations.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential political developments.
• 5 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing dynamics.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.