Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the DHS shutdown ending between April 25-28, 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.55% likelihood that the DHS shutdown will not end during the specified dates. The Pulse AI also reflects a strong NO sentiment, with a 95.05% probability, suggesting a consensus on the anticipated duration of the shutdown. The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in these predictions.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments.
• 4 Current confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.