Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?

The market strongly favors a DHS shutdown continuing beyond April 30, 2026.

With a market probability of 99.3% for 'NO', participants largely believe the DHS shutdown will not end between April 29-30, 2026. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a strong 'NO' sentiment at 94.8%, indicating a consensus against the shutdown ending during this timeframe.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against an end to the DHS shutdown.
• 2 Current sentiment heavily favors a prolonged shutdown.
• 3 Historical trends suggest shutdowns often extend beyond initial deadlines.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the current probabilities.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in political dynamics.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.