Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?

The market indicates a low likelihood of the DHS shutdown ending between March 28-31, 2026.

With a market probability of 6.85% for a shutdown ending during this period, the consensus leans heavily towards 'NO' at 93.15%. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a stable outlook on the shutdown's continuation.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a continued shutdown.
• 2 The probabilities indicate a consensus against resolution during the specified dates.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant anomalies.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is 496 hours, allowing for potential developments to influence outcomes.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.