Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Market shows low confidence in Thomas Massie's chances for the 2028 election.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Thomas Massie winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, with a market probability of 1.25% for 'YES' and 98.75% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a consensus on his unlikely candidacy success. This reflects a general sentiment of skepticism regarding his viability as a candidate.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' for Massie's election chances.
• 2 Market probabilities suggest a consensus on Massie's low viability as a candidate.
• 3 Pulse AI shows slightly higher confidence in Massie's chances than the market.
• 4 The edge of 3 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 5 With 23253 hours until expiry, there is ample time for potential shifts in sentiment.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.