Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Tim Walz has a low chance of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Tim Walz winning the Democratic presidential nomination, with a 99.35% probability of a NO outcome. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability, which also indicates a low likelihood of his nomination at 3.65%. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited volatility in sentiment at this time.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.35%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also indicates low support for Walz at 3.65%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 80/100, suggesting strong market sentiment.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive at 22845 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.