Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

TISZA has a 62.5% chance of winning the most seats in the upcoming Hungarian election.

The prediction market indicates a 62.5% probability for TISZA winning the most seats, slightly higher than the Pulse AI's estimate of 58.5%. With a confidence level of 75 out of 100, the market appears to be fairly priced, suggesting a balanced sentiment among participants. The time to expiry is 805 hours, allowing for potential shifts in public opinion or political developments.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors TISZA with a majority probability.
• 2 The market's edge of -4 indicates fair pricing relative to AI predictions.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the outcome.
• 4 Time until the election allows for potential changes in dynamics.
• 5 Political events could significantly impact voter sentiment leading up to the election.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solel