Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Treg Taylor has a low chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.

The market shows a 17% probability for Treg Taylor to win the 2026 Alaska governor election, while the Pulse AI estimates a slightly higher chance at 21.5%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of over 230 days, the market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily against Taylor's candidacy.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly more optimistic outlook.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The time to expiry allows for potential shifts in the political landscape.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent interest in the market.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.