Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Low probability of a Trump-Putin meeting in a Gulf country.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Trump and Putin will not meet in a Gulf country, with a 96.4% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a consensus on the unlikelihood of such an event occurring.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 96.4%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 8.1%.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 2678 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.