Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Market suggests a high probability that Trump and Putin will not meet.

The prediction market indicates a 72.65% chance that Trump and Putin will not meet, with a slight edge suggesting the NO side may be undervalued. The Pulse AI also supports this sentiment, albeit with a lower probability of 67.15%. The confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100, indicating some uncertainty.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards the likelihood of no meeting.
• 2 The NO side is perceived as undervalued by 5.5 points.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate, reflecting some uncertainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 2703 hours, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Geopolitical dynamics could rapidly alter the meeting prospects.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.