Will Trump post "Markwayne" or "Mullin" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)

Market leans towards Trump not posting 'Markwayne' or 'Mullin' this week.

The prediction market indicates a higher likelihood that Trump will not post 'Markwayne' or 'Mullin' on Truth Social this week, with a 62.5% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a consensus that such a post is unlikely within the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 62.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI closely aligns with market, indicating a 61% chance for 'NO'.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 96 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.

Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)

Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.

Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.

Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incor