Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Women's History Month event?

Market leans towards Trump not using 'Affordable' or 'Affordability'.

The prediction market indicates a 64.5% probability that Trump will not use the terms 'Affordable' or 'Affordability' during the Women's History Month event. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 63%. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5, suggesting moderate confidence in the current sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probabilities from market and AI are closely aligned.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests fair pricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to predictions.

Donald Trump is scheduled to host an event for Women's History Month on March 12, 2026 (https://x.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/2031434734954229899).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-"