Market suggests Trump is unlikely to say 'Ayatollah' during Taoiseach events.
The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Trump saying 'Ayatollah' at Taoiseach events, with a very low probability of 0.85% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of this phrase being used, although with slightly higher probabilities. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on March 17, 2026 (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Taoiseach, Michaél Martin, on March 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Michaél Martin. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or