Market strongly favors Trump not using either term during his Kentucky visit.
The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.45% for Trump not saying either 'Ayatollah' or 'Khamenei' during his visit to Kentucky. This contrasts with the Pulse AI probability of 5.05% for a YES outcome, indicating a significant divergence in expectations. The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5, suggesting a moderate level of confidence in the NO outcome.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Kentucky on March 11, 2026 (https://www.wkyt.com/2026/03/08/president-trump-visit-northern-kentucky-wednesday/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the events in Kentucky scheduled for March 11, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's Kentucky visit scheduled for March 11, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes