The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'B-2' during the trophy presentation.
Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% chance that Trump will not say 'B-2' during the trophy presentation, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher likelihood of 1.55% for a YES outcome. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in the NO outcome.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a trophy presentation on March 20, 2026 (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CZDPc4dfqQyeoJc9mqjdj).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the trophy presentation event scheduled for March 20, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's trophy presentation event scheduled for March 20, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolv