The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Beautiful Woman' at the NRCC Dinner.
Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% chance that Trump will not say 'Beautiful Woman' at the NRCC Dinner, with a very low probability of 0.05% for the affirmative. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a 'yes' at 3.05%. This suggests that while the market is confident in the 'no' outcome, there is some uncertainty reflected in the AI's assessment.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 202