Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event?

Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Biden' at the event.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.4%) that Trump will not mention 'Biden' during the Women's History Month event. In contrast, the Pulse AI suggests a much lower likelihood (5.1%) for the same outcome, indicating a significant divergence in expectations. The edge of 4.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Trump not mentioning Biden.
• 2 The Pulse AI shows a stark contrast in predicted outcomes.
• 3 Market probability suggests a strong consensus against mentioning Biden.
• 4 The edge indicates the market is likely accurately priced.
• 5 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in predictions.

Donald Trump is scheduled to host an event for Women's History Month on March 12, 2026 (https://x.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/2031434734954229899).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-"