Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times during Kentucky visit?

High probability Trump will mention 'Biden' or 'Obama' 7+ times in Kentucky.

The market shows a strong consensus that Trump will say either 'Biden' or 'Obama' at least seven times during his visit to Kentucky, with a probability of 99.70%. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 95.7%, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome. The edge of -4 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market probability indicates overwhelming confidence in the outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge suggests no significant mispricing in the market.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate certainty.
• 5 Potential for shifts based on real-time developments or speech content.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Kentucky on March 11, 2026 (https://www.wkyt.com/2026/03/08/president-trump-visit-northern-kentucky-wednesday/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the events in Kentucky scheduled for March 11, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Kentucky visit scheduled for March 11, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes