Will Trump say "Black Plastic" this week? (March 8)

The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'Black Plastic' this week.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus that Trump will not use the phrase 'Black Plastic' this week, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI suggests a slight chance of 1.5% for a YES, but overall confidence remains high that the market is accurately priced.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against Trump saying 'Black Plastic'.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a minimal chance of a YES outcome.
• 3 High confidence level suggests market is well-informed.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues observed in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qu