Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during National Agriculture Day events?

Market strongly favors NO on Trump saying 'China' 5+ times at events.

The prediction market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for NO, indicating that participants believe Trump will not mention 'China' five or more times during National Agriculture Day events. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a strong NO sentiment at 95.45%, suggesting consensus among analysts. The edge of 4.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO with minimal chance for YES.
• 2 The disparity between market and AI probabilities suggests some uncertainty.
• 3 Historical context shows Trump often discusses trade but may not focus on China now.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts in sentiment.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event celebrating National Agriculture Day on March 27, 2026 (https://washingtonreporter.news/exclusive-white-house-unveils-trumps-pro-farmer-agenda-ahead-of-national-agriculture-day/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event i