Will Trump say "Common Sense" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Market predicts Trump will say 'Common Sense' at the NRCC Dinner with high confidence.

The prediction market shows a 100% probability that Trump will use the phrase 'Common Sense' at the NRCC Dinner, aligning closely with the Pulse AI's 97.5% estimate. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -2.5, indicating strong confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Trump saying 'Common Sense'.
• 2 The probability reflects a high level of confidence among participants.
• 3 Historical context suggests Trump often uses familiar phrases in speeches.
• 4 Liquidity in this market indicates active participation and interest.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 202