Will Trump say "Crooked" during Miami address?

Market predicts Trump will not say 'Crooked' in his Miami address.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Trump using the term 'Crooked' during his Miami address, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI model suggests a slight chance of 1.5% for 'YES', indicating a low likelihood but some uncertainty remains.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Trump saying 'Crooked'.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability indicates a minimal chance of him using the term.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 90/100, indicating strong market belief in the outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the prediction.

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference on March 9, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President delivers Remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference" scheduled for March 9, 2026, at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM