Will Trump say "Democrat" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Market predicts Trump will say 'Democrat' 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that Trump will use the term 'Democrat' frequently at the NRCC Dinner, with a 100% probability for YES. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 97.5%, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of Trump using the term.
• 2 The high probability suggests strong expectations based on past behavior.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the prediction.
• 4 The edge of -2.5 indicates the market is fairly priced compared to AI predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to any last-minute changes.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 202