Will Trump say "Election" during events with Japanese PM?

Market predicts Trump will say 'Election' during events with the Japanese PM.

The market shows a strong consensus that Trump will mention 'Election' during his interactions with the Japanese Prime Minister, with a 100% probability assigned to this outcome. The AI probability also supports this view, indicating high confidence in the prediction, though the edge suggests the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment indicates overwhelming confidence in the prediction.
• 2 The high AI probability aligns closely with the market's assessment.
• 3 There is minimal liquidity risk given the clear consensus.
• 4 Historical context suggests Trump often references elections in political discussions.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential market shifts.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in events with the Prime Minister of Japan on March 19, 2026 (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Japanese Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, on March 19, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Sanae Takaichi on March 19, 2026. All such events featuring both on this dat